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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 2, 2026

Nick Wright made five Week 18 picks against the spread: Tampa Bay over Carolina, Seattle over San Francisco (and to take the No. 1 seed), Las Vegas to cover against Kansas City, Miami to cover 12 at New England, and Pittsburgh to cover at home against Baltimore. They also predicted Seattle wins the No. 1 seed and Mike Evans scores a touchdown.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think Seattle gets the one seed.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
What’s Wright - NFL Week 18 Predictions: Ravens-Steelers, Seahawks-49ers, Panthers-Bucs, Lions-Bears | Nick Wright
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 1
  2. GradedAug 17
  1. 1Seattle Seahawks to take the top seed“I think it makes more sense for Seattle to be the one seed... I think Seattle gets the one seed.”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco“I think Seattle's better... I think Seattle will lay the point. I think they went”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Seattle Seahawks to take the top seed1Seeding, Byes and Home Field—1000+106
Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco2Game Outcome Picks—1000+106
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled1000

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Seeding, Byes and Home FieldSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to take the top seed

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.06difficulty+106skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    106
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    checked as:
    the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
    actual tier:
    bye
    difficulty:
    1.06
    the naive guess:
    where they finished last season (missed the playoffs)
    weeks in the season:
    18
    claimed seed:
    1
    claimed tier:
    bye
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.06difficulty+106skill

    Closing line (Jan 3): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 57%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    13-3
    skill:
    106
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 0

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