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Jacob Westendorf· Oct 4, 2026

Westendorf expects the Packers to narrowly beat the Buccaneers, reasoning that Tampa Bay can't generate enough offense with an undrafted rookie making his first start.

“Prediction: Packers 14, Buccaneers 13.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 95.2 out of 100, against 45.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Green Bay Packers 14 — Buccaneers 13

    “So, the Packers will squeak by, setting up a showdown next week with Chicago. Prediction: Packers 14, Buccaneers 13.”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 45.24+91.5 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    17-14
    skill:
    91.5
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    45.24
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    1
    predicted margin:
    1

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