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John Hendricks· Sep 24, 2026

Predicted a lower-scoring Saints win over the Raiders, 24-19, with the defense carrying them.

“I think it'll be more like a 24, 19 game. I know. ... I think the Saints are gonna win.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 42.9 out of 100, against 32.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • New Orleans Saints 24 — Raiders 19

    “Maybe a little bit lower scoring, right, just because the Raiders defense... I think it'll be more like a 24, 19 game... I think the Saints are gonna win.”

    Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 32.07+20.39 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    35-27
    skill:
    20.39
    they picked:
    NO
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    32.07
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    5

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