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Rich Hribar#24 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 6, 2020

Hribar published a pre-draft top-60 fantasy rookie ranking for 2020, headlined by Jonathan Taylor, J.K. Dobbins and D'Andre Swift at running back and CeeDee Lamb as the top rookie receiver.

Published in writing · Sharp Football AnalysisRead the original

75Close · out of 100
Fantasy RankingsThe callsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
75.2This callout of 100
#24Rich Hribar’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Hribar said

Now that we've covered the early 2020 rookie rankings we now have the first look at a top-60 for position players.
Rich Hribar’s words, quoted for attribution
Where it was published
Sharp Football Analysis
The piece
2020 Pre-NFL Draft Fantasy Rookie Rankings: Top 60 | Sharp Football
  1. SaidMar 6, 2020
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 75.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Fantasy Rankings

    “Top-60 Rookie Rankings: Jonathan Taylor, RB1 ... Lamical Perine, RB19”

    VerdictClose
    75.2Close · naive 50
    75.2this call50a naive guess25.2better than naive2difficulty+50.4skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    50.4
    placed:
    51
    season:
    2020
    players:
    60
    accuracy:
    75.2
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    RB 17: 76.72, WR 25: 84.04, QB 4: 70, TE 5: 30
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    17
    could not place:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.