Andrew Erickson· Feb 22, 2026
Erickson laid out his own early 2026 quarterback and tight end ranks — Justin Herbert QB6, Jalen Hurts QB9, Jordan Love QB13, Baker Mayfield QB14, Kyler Murray QB19, Sam Darnold QB23; Tucker Kraft TE8, Isaiah Likely TE12, Ronde Gadsden TE13 — and predicted Kyler Murray starts somewhere in 2026 and Mike Evans stays in Tampa Bay.
“That's why I have Jalen Hurts ranked as QB nine.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
4 checkable claims — 2 fantasy rankings, 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 83.2 out of 100, against 63.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Fantasy RankingsFeb 22, 2026
“his tight end ten in the ECR, but you've got him all the way at thirteen [Gadsden]... expert concetsus asm at five. But Andrew, you got him only at eight [Kraft]... So Andrew, you've got him a tight end twelve [Likely]”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- placed:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 3
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- TE 3: 75
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Depth Chart CallsKyler MurrayFeb 22, 2026
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
“he's gonna be starting quarterback where I don't know, but it's gonna be somewhere... But I'm confident he's going to start somewhere.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- ARI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Kyler Murray
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Fantasy RankingsFeb 22, 2026
“So that's why I have Jalen Hurts ranked as QB nine... So that's why I have him QB six [Herbert]... you've got him at QB thirteen [Love]... he is ECR of eighteen, but you've got him at fourteen [Mayfield]... you've got him at nineteen [Murray]... Andrew, you have him at twenty three [Darnold]”
Hit · 83Scored 82.86a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- placed:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 6
- accuracy:
- 82.86
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 6: 82.86
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Mike Evans to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“I still think Mike Evans is a lifer and true through to Tampa Bay.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Marcus RayScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 19Marcus predicted a 30-13 Buccaneers win over Cleveland with three touchdowns and three field goals, and picked the Raiders to beat a Jim Harbaugh team to start 2-0.
- Ryan LaVoyScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 17LaVoy predicted a 28-10 Buccaneers win over the Browns, said even the Falcons would beat Cleveland, and named Detroit, Baltimore and the Rams as teams he expects in the playoffs.
- Jaron SporScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 19The host predicted a comfortable Buccaneers win over Cleveland, 27-10, picked Jacksonville as an upset winner at Denver, said the Giants could win seven or eight games as a sneaky team, and expected Deshaun Watson and the Browns to part ways soon.
- Carmen VitaliGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks.
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 36Fitzmaurice gave rest-of-season positional rankings for several Chiefs and other skill players, including Mahomes as his QB10, Kenneth Walker as RB4 behind Gibbs, Bijan and McCaffrey, Kelce at TE8 and Worthy down at WR50, and he picked Tampa Bay to beat Minnesota 21-20.
- Derek BrownScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersClose · 40Brown laid out aggressive rest-of-season positional rankings — Mahomes QB8, Kenneth Walker RB3, Kelce up to TE7, Rashee Rice all the way down at WR31 and Worthy at WR42 — called Drake London a WR1 with Penix back, and picked Tampa Bay 21-18 over Minnesota while declaring Zay Flowers will not play in Brazil.
More fantasy rankings
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarFantasy RankingsClose · 77Hribar published his post-NFL Draft top-60 rookie fantasy rankings for the 2020 season, with Clyde Edwards-Helaire vaulting to No. 1 ahead of Jonathan Taylor and J.K. Dobbins.
- Mike HarmonFantasy RankingsHit · 80Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season.
- Marcas GrantFantasy RankingsMiss · 25Grant says De'Von Achane deserves to be a top-three pick in fantasy drafts next season, keeps Breece Hall as the Jets' clear RB1 over Isaiah Davis, and lists his five league winners for the fantasy semifinals with Saquon Barkley on top. He also picks Josh Allen as the week's top quarterback and Jaxon Smith-Njigba as the top wide receiver.
- Jake CielyFantasy RankingsClose · 63Sealey gave his early 2026 quarterback ranks — Allen, Lamar, May and Daniels as his top four, Joe Burrow sixth, Daniel Jones 17th, Justin Herbert 10th, C.J. Stroud 25th and Sam Darnold 26th — plus tight ends with Isaiah Likely 13th and Dalton Kincaid down at 16.
- Jake CielyFantasy RankingsHit · 93Seely gives his own early 2026 running back board — Bijan and Gibbs on top, McCaffrey third (seventh overall), Kyren Williams tenth, Jeanty 11th and Chase Brown 12th — while ranking Skattebo, Dowdle, Pollard, Hubbard and Tucker below consensus. He also insists Kyren Williams remains a top-ten back, expects Skattebo to lead the Giants backfield and expects Rico Dowdle to leave Carolina.
- Joe PisapiaFantasy RankingsClose · 71Joe Pisapia's 2026 first round is receiver-heavy, starting with Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Ja'Marr Chase, insisting Amon-Ra St. Brown belongs in the top five, keeping Justin Jefferson in round one, and dropping Christian McCaffrey to 12. He also sees Omarion Hampton as a value who will be a top-10 pick a year later.