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Andrew Erickson#30 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 22, 2026

Erickson laid out their own early 2026 quarterback and tight end ranks — Justin Herbert QB6, Jalen Hurts QB9, Jordan Love QB13, Baker Mayfield QB14, Kyler Murray QB19, Sam Darnold QB23; Tucker Kraft TE8, Isaiah Likely TE12, Ronde Gadsden TE13 — and predicted Kyler Murray starts somewhere in 2026 and Mike Evans stays in Tampa Bay.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 waiting
83.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
63.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
#30Andrew Erickson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Andrew Erickson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
That's why I have Jalen Hurts ranked as QB nine.
Andrew Erickson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
FantasyPros - 2026 Fantasy Football Quarterback and Tight End Rankings & Tiers (Ep. 1968)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 22
  2. GradedAug 7
  1. 1Fantasy Rankings“his tight end ten in the ECR, but you've got him all the way at thirteen [Gadsden]... expert concetsus asm at five. But Andrew, you got him only at eight [Kraft]... So Andrew, you've got him a tight end twelve [Likely]”
  2. 2Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart“he's gonna be starting quarterback where I don't know, but it's gonna be somewhere... But I'm confident he's going to start somewhere.”
  3. 3Fantasy Rankings“So that's why I have Jalen Hurts ranked as QB nine... So that's why I have him QB six [Herbert]... you've got him at QB thirteen [Love]... he is ECR of eighteen, but you've got him at fourteen [Mayfield]... you've got him at nineteen [Murray]... Andrew, you have him at twenty three [Darnold]”
  4. 4Mike Evans to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers“I still think Mike Evans is a lifer and true through to Tampa Bay.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
“his tight end ten in the ECR, but you've got him all the way at…”1Fantasy Rankings—7550+25
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart CallsNo. 291.6791.670
“So that's why I have Jalen Hurts ranked as QB nine... So that's…”3Fantasy Rankings—82.8650+32.86
Mike Evans to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers4Trade and Signing Calls————
4 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 waiting83.263.9

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 fantasy rankings, 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 83.2 out of 100, against 63.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Fantasy Rankings

    “his tight end ten in the ECR, but you've got him all the way at thirteen [Gadsden]... expert concetsus asm at five. But Andrew, you got him only at eight [Kraft]... So Andrew, you've got him a tight end twelve [Likely]”

    VerdictClose
    75Close · naive 50
    75this call50a naive guess25better than naive1difficulty+25skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    25
    placed:
    3
    season:
    2025
    players:
    3
    accuracy:
    75
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    TE 3: 75
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsKyler Murray

    Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
    91.67Hit · naive 91.67
    91.67this call91.67a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    ARI
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Kyler Murray
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Fantasy Rankings

    “So that's why I have Jalen Hurts ranked as QB nine... So that's why I have him QB six [Herbert]... you've got him at QB thirteen [Love]... he is ECR of eighteen, but you've got him at fourteen [Mayfield]... you've got him at nineteen [Murray]... Andrew, you have him at twenty three [Darnold]”

    VerdictHit
    82.86Hit · naive 50
    82.86this call50a naive guess32.86better than naive1difficulty+32.86skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    32.86
    placed:
    6
    season:
    2025
    players:
    6
    accuracy:
    82.86
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    QB 6: 82.86
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Trade and Signing CallsMike EvansTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Mike Evans to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    83.2naive 63.9

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