Mike HarmonJan 2, 2026
Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season.
Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original
What Mike Harmon said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo I'm gonna take Dak Prescott in that five spot.
- Where it was said
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)
- The episode
- I WANT YOUR FLEX - Week 18 Position Rankings, Hot Plays & More!
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidJan 2
- GradedAug 13–14
- 1Fantasy Rankings“Some of the usual suspects, Pooka Nakoua... Jamar Chase... How about Alan raw Sam Brown against the Bears... JSN going up against San Francisco... And then you got Nico Collins going up against the Indianapolis”
- 2Fantasy Rankings“Let's get into your top five quarterbacks for Week eighteen... Drake May going up against Miami... Trevor Lawrence going up against Tennessee... Lamar Jackson... Brock Purdy going up against Seattle... So I'm gonna take Dak Prescott in that five spot.”
- 3Trey Lance to be 1st on the depth chart“Operations shutdown, Trey Lance looks like he's gonna be the starter.”
- 4Trevor Lawrence to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points“But there's Trevor Lawrence all the way up towards a top four fantasy finish for the year.”
- 5Fantasy Rankings“CMC going up against Seattle... Derreck Henry against Pittsburgh... John Robinson going up against New Orleans... RJ. Harvey going up against the Chargers... and then Travis etn the aforementioned he gets the number five spot here”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| “Some of the usual suspects, Pooka Nakoua... Jamar Chase... How…”1 | Fantasy Rankings | — | 80 | 50 | +31.8 | |
| “Let's get into your top five quarterbacks for Week eighteen...…”2 | Fantasy Rankings | — | 85 | 50 | +37.1 | |
| Trey Lance to be 1st on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 2 | 91.67 | 91.67 | 0 | |
| Trevor Lawrence to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points4 | Positional Finishes | Finished #4 | 100 | 0 | +106 | |
| “CMC going up against Seattle... Derreck Henry against…”5 | Fantasy Rankings | — | 90 | 50 | +42.4 | |
| 5 calls · 5 hits · all settled | 89.3 | 48.3 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive5 checkable claims — 3 fantasy rankings, 1 depth chart call and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 89.3 out of 100, against 48.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
“Some of the usual suspects, Pooka Nakoua... Jamar Chase... How about Alan raw Sam Brown against the Bears... JSN going up against San Francisco... And then you got Nico Collins going up against the Indianapolis”
VerdictHit80Hit · naive 5080this call−50a naive guess=30better than naive×1.06difficulty=+31.8skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 31.8
- placed:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- WR 5: 80
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 1
“Let's get into your top five quarterbacks for Week eighteen... Drake May going up against Miami... Trevor Lawrence going up against Tennessee... Lamar Jackson... Brock Purdy going up against Seattle... So I'm gonna take Dak Prescott in that five spot.”
VerdictHit85Hit · naive 5085this call−50a naive guess=35better than naive×1.06difficulty=+37.1skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 37.1
- placed:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 85
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 5: 85
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 1
3Depth Chart CallsTrey LanceLos Angeles Chargers
Trey Lance to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards91.67Hit · naive 91.6791.67this call−91.67a naive guess=0better than naive×1.06difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- LAC
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Trey Lance
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 3
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 1
4Positional FinishesTrevor LawrenceJacksonville Jaguars
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
What happenedFinished #4called #4 · by fantasy points100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.06difficulty=+106skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 106
- player:
- Trevor Lawrence
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 27
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- predicted finish:
- 4
“CMC going up against Seattle... Derreck Henry against Pittsburgh... John Robinson going up against New Orleans... RJ. Harvey going up against the Chargers... and then Travis etn the aforementioned he gets the number five spot here”
VerdictHit90Hit · naive 5090this call−50a naive guess=40better than naive×1.06difficulty=+42.4skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 42.4
- placed:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 90
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- RB 5: 90
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
89.3naive 48.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.AJ Hawk · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin.Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Connor believed Baltimore would keep it close but still said Jacksonville wins the game outright.Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Wright expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk once they report, predicts Jacksonville blows out Baltimore on Thursday night, sees the Jaguars finishing around 13-4 or 14-3, and thinks Seattle's defense carries them past Arizona even with Drew Lock starting.Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night.
More fantasy rankings
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Marcas Grant · Fantasy Rankings · Miss 25
Grant says De'Von Achane deserves to be a top-three pick in fantasy drafts next season, keeps Breece Hall as the Jets' clear RB1 over Isaiah Davis, and lists their five league winners for the fantasy semifinals with Saquon Barkley on top. They also pick Josh Allen as the week's top quarterback and Jaxon Smith-Njigba as the top wide receiver.Andrew Erickson · Fantasy Rankings · Close 75
Erickson laid out their own early 2026 quarterback and tight end ranks — Justin Herbert QB6, Jalen Hurts QB9, Jordan Love QB13, Baker Mayfield QB14, Kyler Murray QB19, Sam Darnold QB23; Tucker Kraft TE8, Isaiah Likely TE12, Ronde Gadsden TE13 — and predicted Kyler Murray starts somewhere in 2026 and Mike Evans stays in Tampa Bay.Jake Ciely · Fantasy Rankings · Close 63
Sealey gave their early 2026 quarterback ranks — Allen, Lamar, May and Daniels as their top four, Joe Burrow sixth, Daniel Jones 17th, Justin Herbert 10th, C.J. Stroud 25th and Sam Darnold 26th — plus tight ends with Isaiah Likely 13th and Dalton Kincaid down at 16.Jake Ciely · Fantasy Rankings · Hit 93
Seely gives his own early 2026 running back board — Bijan and Gibbs on top, McCaffrey third (seventh overall), Kyren Williams tenth, Jeanty 11th and Chase Brown 12th — while ranking Skattebo, Dowdle, Pollard, Hubbard and Tucker below consensus. He also insists Kyren Williams remains a top-ten back, expects Skattebo to lead the Giants backfield and expects Rico Dowdle to leave Carolina.