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Brian Peacock#29 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 16, 2026

Peacock suggested TCU safety Bud Clark, who weighed in around 185-195 at the Senior Bowl, could be up to 190 pounds by the time the NFL combine arrives.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast)Hear the original

87Hit · out of 100
188What happenedcalled 190
35.29A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
86.7This callout of 100
#29Brian Peacock’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Brian Peacock said

he might be one ninety by the time the, the combine comes around here in a few weeks
Our reading: Bud Clark to post he might be one ninety by the time the combine comes around at the combine
Where it was said
Locked On 49ers (podcast)
The episode
49ers LIVE Listener 7-Round Mock Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 16
  2. GradedAug 18

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 86.7 out of 100, against 35.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Combine MeasurementsBud Clark

    Bud Clark to post he might be one ninety by the time the combine comes around at the combine

    What happened188called 190
    86.7Hit · naive 35.29
    86.7this call35.29a naive guess51.41better than naive1difficulty+51.41skill
    How this was scored
    off:
    2
    drill:
    weight lbs
    naive:
    the average SAF (202.6, from 68 results)
    scale:
    credit halves every 9.72 — one standard deviation for a SAF
    skill:
    51.41
    player:
    Bud Clark
    result:
    188
    season:
    2025
    combine year:
    2026
    accuracy:
    86.7
    baseline:
    35.29
    they said:
    190
    sigmas out:
    0.21
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

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More combine measurements

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