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Ryan TracyMar 2, 2026

In a Chiefs mock draft, Tracy advocated taking Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles in the first round, Missouri edge Zion Young at No. 40, tight end Trigg at No. 74, safety Bud Clark at No. 109, and cornerback Davis at No. 176.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 5calls landed2 hits · 3 misses · all settled
38.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Ryan Tracy said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I would say take the Mizzou Tiger, plug him in, and let him hunt that quarterback.
Ryan Tracy, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On Chiefs (podcast)
The episode
REBUILD: Kansas City Chiefs Face TOUGH Mock Draft Decisions—Sonny Styles, Zion Young EMERGE
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidMar 1
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“To me, I almost think you have to go with Sonny Styles. / That's that's where I'm at... you plug him in next to Nick Bolton, you have a new duo.”
  2. 2Zion Young to be picked at number 40“At pick number 40... So I would say take the Mizzou Tiger, plug him in, and let him hunt that quarterback.”
  3. 3Demario Davis to be picked at number 176“So definitely a guy that I think is a value here at a 176. I say do it.”
  4. 4Bud Clark to be picked at number 109“here we sit at one zero nine... Probably Clark. I know I took him last week, in one of these, but, man, I just like what he does”
  5. 5Michael Trigg to be picked at number 74“Maybe I would just go trig given that he's so close there, and and give us a tight end”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)1Mock Draft PicksWent 710050+50
Zion Young to be picked at number 402Mock Draft PicksWent 4580.5250+50
Demario Davis to be picked at number 1763Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050+50
Bud Clark to be picked at number 1094Mock Draft PicksWent 6414.2350+50
Michael Trigg to be picked at number 745Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050+50
5 calls · 2 hits · 3 misses · all settled38.950

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 38.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
first round (picks 1–32)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesKansas City Chiefs

    Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 7
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksZion YoungKansas City Chiefs

    Zion Young to be picked at number 40

    What happenedWent 45mocked at 40
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Zion Young
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    45
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    40
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksDemario DavisKansas City Chiefs

    Demario Davis to be picked at number 176

    What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 176
    0Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Demario Davis
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    176
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Mock Draft PicksBud ClarkKansas City Chiefs

    Bud Clark to be picked at number 109

    What happenedWent 64mocked at 109
    14.23Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Bud Clark
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    14.23
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    64
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    14.23
    predicted pick:
    109
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Mock Draft PicksMichael TriggKansas City Chiefs

    Michael Trigg to be picked at number 74

    What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 74
    0Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Michael Trigg
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with DAL
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    74
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    38.9naive 50

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