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Chris ClarkMar 2, 2026

Clark made the Chiefs' mock draft selections: Sonny Styles in the first round, Zion Young at 40, Trigg at 74, Bud Clark at 109, Bryce Lance at 146 and cornerback Davis at 176.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 6calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled
43.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Chris Clark said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
To me, I almost think you have to go with Sonny Styles.
Chris Clark, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On Chiefs (podcast)
The episode
REBUILD: Kansas City Chiefs Face TOUGH Mock Draft Decisions—Sonny Styles, Zion Young EMERGE
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidMar 1
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“Let's just go ahead and take stunning styles at this point... we have got sunny styles, which is not the decision we were expecting to take in the first round”
  2. 2Michael Trigg to be picked at number 74“Okay. We will take Trigg.”
  3. 3Zion Young to be picked at number 40“we will go ahead and add Zion Young to this roster”
  4. 4Bud Clark to be picked at number 109“Let's say Clark. At that point, we have another safety to add that will replace Brian Cook on the back end of this defense.”
  5. 5Bryce Lance to be picked at number 146“You wanna go Bryce Lance and see what we get going forward? Yeah. Why not? K. There's your wide receiver.”
  6. 6Demario Davis to be picked at number 176“There you go. Davis is who we are taking, and that will complete the Chiefs draft at this point.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)1Mock Draft PicksWent 710050+50
Michael Trigg to be picked at number 742Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050+50
Zion Young to be picked at number 403Mock Draft PicksWent 4580.5250+50
Bud Clark to be picked at number 1094Mock Draft PicksWent 6414.2350+50
Bryce Lance to be picked at number 1465Mock Draft PicksWent 13664.8450+50
Demario Davis to be picked at number 1766Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050+50
6 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled43.350

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 43.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
first round (picks 1–32)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesKansas City Chiefs

    Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 7
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksMichael TriggKansas City Chiefs

    Michael Trigg to be picked at number 74

    What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 74
    0Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Michael Trigg
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with DAL
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    74
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksZion YoungKansas City Chiefs

    Zion Young to be picked at number 40

    What happenedWent 45mocked at 40
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Zion Young
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    45
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    40
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Mock Draft PicksBud ClarkKansas City Chiefs

    Bud Clark to be picked at number 109

    What happenedWent 64mocked at 109
    14.23Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Bud Clark
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    14.23
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    64
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    14.23
    predicted pick:
    109
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Mock Draft PicksBryce LanceKansas City Chiefs

    Bryce Lance to be picked at number 146

    What happenedWent 136mocked at 146
    64.84Close · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Bryce Lance
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    136
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    146
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Mock Draft PicksDemario DavisKansas City Chiefs

    Demario Davis to be picked at number 176

    What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 176
    0Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Demario Davis
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    176
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once

    43.3naive 50

Who this take is about

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