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Jason CabindaDec 5, 2025

Cabinda predicted the Bucs would beat the Saints, the Broncos defense would shut down the Raiders, and picked Washington over Minnesota; they also called Detroit's offensive performance sustainable.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · all settled
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Jason Cabinda said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Bucks are going to beat back out of the Saints
Jason Cabinda, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Friday Hour 2: Lions in NFC, QB Matchups, Mad Minute, and Picks!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidDec 5, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Saints“Like the Saints sucked, they're kind of tanking. Who really cares? Bucks are going to beat back out of the.”
  2. 2Washington Commanders to beat Vikings“I'm fortunate that Andrew is your pick it for me. It's gonna be Washington, Washington”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Saints1Game Outcome Picks—000
Washington Commanders to beat Vikings2Game Outcome Picks—0100−128
2 calls · 2 misses · all settled050

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Saints

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.28difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Dec 7): Buccaneers by 7.5 · favorite pick, Buccaneers 78%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    NO
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1.28
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    5
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksWashington Commanders

    Washington Commanders to beat Vikings

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.28difficulty−128skill

    Closing line (Dec 7): Commanders by 1.5 · a toss-up, Commanders 51%, Vikings 49%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    0-31
    skill:
    −128
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    1.28
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    5
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 50

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.