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Joe HadenFeb 5, 2026

Joe picked the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl, saying Kenneth Walker would run for roughly 120 yards and be the game's MVP because New England would have to devote coverage to Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Said on air or in an interview · Deebo & Joe (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Joe Haden said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Kenneth Walker's gonna run for a buck twenty something telling you
Joe Haden, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Deebo & Joe (podcast)
The episode
Super Bowl LX Radio Row Day 2: Part 2 - Emmitt Smith joins! + Seahawks vs. Patriots Predictions!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 5
  2. GradedAug 5–Oct 9
  1. 1Kenneth Walker III to win Super Bowl MVP“Walker's gonna be the ball. Walker's gonna be the MVP of the game.”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks to beat New England“I got Seahawks... Joe once again is gonna be said, de Bo, you was right, Joe, go Seahawks”
  3. 3Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“Who you got? You know who? I got Seahawks?... Joe, go Seahawks”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kenneth Walker III to win Super Bowl MVP1Award PicksKenneth Walker III won1000+100
Seattle Seahawks to beat New England2Game Outcome Picks—1000+100
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl3Super Bowl PicksSEA won it1000+100
3 calls · 3 hits · all settled1000

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 game outcome pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksKenneth Walker IIISeattle Seahawks

    Kenneth Walker III to win Super Bowl MVP

    What happenedKenneth Walker III won
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    super_bowl_mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jalen Hurts, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Kenneth Walker III
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Kenneth Walker III
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat New England

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill

    Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 2 in 3 (68%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Super Bowl PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 0

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