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Brent Sobleski· Oct 5, 2026

Sobleski expects the Colts to win their next two games, beating the Steelers and the Titans, provided Daniel Jones protects the football better.

“As long as Jones does a better job with his ball security, the Colts could easily win their next two contests against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans.”

published in writing · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Indianapolis Colts to beat Pittsburgh Steelers

    “the Colts could easily win their next two contests against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    22-34
    skill:
    −183
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

    Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3 · underdog pick, Colts 41%.

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  • Indianapolis Colts to beat Tennessee Titans

    “the Colts could easily win their next two contests against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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