Skip to main content

Matt HarmonNov 12, 2026

Harmon picked the Lions, Bengals, 49ers (in a comfortable win), Texans and Packers in Week 10, and for their Hail Mary said Derrick Henry would run for 130 yards on Monday night against the Chargers.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)Hear the original

Waiting5 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5Games calledeveryone’s picks below
5Waitingnot graded yet

What Matt Harmon said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But I think Derrick Henry goes for a 130 yards on Monday night football against the Los Angeles chargers.
Matt Harmon, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
NFL Week 10 preview & bold predictions: Joe Burrow vs. Aaron Rodgers, can Kirk Cousins save the Vikings?
The original
Hear the original
  1. 1San Francisco 49ers to beat cowboys“Yeah. I'm going niners, and I think they win pretty big.”
  2. 2Houston Texans to beat Browns“Yeah. I'll go, Texans win this one. Just think they're all... I just trust their quarterback more at this point.”
  3. 3Detroit Lions to beat patriots“Yeah. I'm gonna go, lions on this one. I just think they're the more talented team.”
  4. 4Green Bay Packers to beat Vikings“I still think I'm gonna take the packers to win because it's a four units theory game for sure”
  5. 5Cincinnati Bengals to beat Steelers“I'm gonna go Bengals here. I just think that while the Steelers offense has the right buttons to push, I just don't know if I could see them outscoring Cincinnati right now.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
San Francisco 49ers to beat cowboys1Game Outcome Picks————
Houston Texans to beat Browns2Game Outcome Picks————
Detroit Lions to beat patriots3Game Outcome Picks————
Green Bay Packers to beat Vikings4Game Outcome Picks————
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Steelers5Game Outcome Picks————
5 calls · 5 waiting——

How each call scored

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat cowboys

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Browns

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to beat patriots

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to beat Vikings

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Game Outcome PicksCincinnati Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Steelers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.