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Kevin Wildes· Oct 9, 2026

Wildes liked Seattle at home over San Francisco, made the Eagles his upset-alert pick to beat Jacksonville straight up in London, and said he believes the Patriots beat the Raiders in Foxborough.

“Eagles straight up over the Jags.”

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Niners

    “I also think the fact that it's in Seattle and the noise and that Seattle needs the game more... All those reasons, I really like Seattle in this fight.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    32-29
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.

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  • New England Patriots to beat Raiders

    “I have confidence in Drake May. I have confidence in the patchwork team that we're putting out in the field because Mike Vrabel believes in next man up. I believe we are going to win the game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    17-45
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.

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  • Philadelphia Eagles to beat Jags

    “All vibes, all just belief in two Super Bowl champions. Those men are Nick Sirianni and Jalen Hurts across the pond to the Jags home away from home... Eagles straight up over the Jags.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    17-19
    skill:
    −178
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5 · underdog pick, Eagles about 1 in 4 (24%).

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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