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Fox SportsSep 22, 2026

With Caleb Williams injured and Tyson Bagent in concussion protocol, third-string quarterback Case Keenum is expected to start for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100

Depth Chart CallsThe callsettled

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

+189Skillafter difficulty

What Fox Sports said

With both Williams and Bagent possibly sidelined, third-string quarterback Case Keenum is now positioned to be Chicago's starting QB against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3.

Our reading: Case Keenum to be 1st on the depth chart

Where it was published: Fox Sports
The piece: Bears Backup QB Tyson Bagent Reportedly In Concussion Protocol
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 22
PlayedSep 28
GradedSep 30

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Depth Chart Calls Case Keenum Chicago Bears
Case Keenum to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill
How this was scored
club:
CHI
week:
3
skill:
189
player:
Case Keenum
season:
2026
claimed:
he starts
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
quarterback
reported:
named the starter
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
1.89
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
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