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Darrion Gray· Sep 24, 2026

Predicted the Saints beat the Raiders 27-17 at home.

“Final score, I'm gonna go 27 to 17, Saints.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 45.2 out of 100, against 32.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • New Orleans Saints 27 — Raiders 17

    “Final score, I'm gonna go 27 to 17, Saints.”

    Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 32.07+24.89 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    35-27
    skill:
    24.89
    they picked:
    NO
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    45.24
    baseline:
    32.07
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    10

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