Bryan DeArdo· Oct 10, 2026
DeArdo picks the Steelers to beat the Colts 24-20 at home, expecting a big rushing game from Jaylen Warren against a weak Indianapolis run defense, and notes Michael Pittman will miss several weeks with Roman Wilson and Germie Bernard taking on bigger roles.
“Score: Steelers 24, Colts 20”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
3 checkable claims — 1 availability call, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 90.5 out of 100, against 86.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Colts at Steelers 21 calls
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsPittsburgh SteelersOct 10, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — Colts 20
“Score: Steelers 24, Colts 20”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 73.52+13.23 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-34
- skill:
- 13.23
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 80.95
- baseline:
- 73.52
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 4) and more points (44).
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersOct 10, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Colts
“Pittsburgh has a clear advantage in this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 22-34
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 59%.
“Steelers wideout Michael Pittman ... is expected to miss several weeks after reinjuring his foot.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jack MarkowskiRoster Spot Calls · Brandon SmithMiss · 0Markowski argues the Steelers should move on from Tyreek Hill given his injury and possible NFL discipline, and names promoting practice-squad receiver Brandon Smith to the 53-man roster as the most obvious way Pittsburgh addresses its receiver need.
- Noah StrackbeinRoster Spot Calls · Brandon SmithMiss · 0After the Steelers' win over the Colts, Strackbein noted that with Roman Wilson and Ben Skowronek hurt, Pittsburgh is down to three healthy receivers and that practice squad receiver Brandon Smith is expected to be elevated to the active roster.
- Jack MarkowskiGame Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersHit · 100Markowski lays out three reasons the Steelers beat the Colts at home in Week 5, moving to 3-2: Rodgers gets time against a weak Colts pass rush, Pittsburgh's edge rushers overwhelm Indianapolis' tackles, and the Steelers win the turnover battle.
- Jeremy PargoScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 76Bergman picked winners and exact scores for every Week 5 game, siding with Jacksonville in London, the Saints over the unbeaten Vikings, the Jets over Cleveland and the Rams over Buffalo.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 79Parr picked every Week 5 game with scores, leaning on Chicago's ground game at Lambeau, Seattle's defense against the unbeaten 49ers, and the Rams handling Buffalo on Monday night.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersHit · 86Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John GreenGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position.
- Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilioGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense.
- Darius ButlerGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen.
- Pat McAfeeGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel.
- Blaine GrisakGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo.