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Albert Breer· Nov 6, 2026

Breer argues the Jaguars should be taken very seriously, seeing a path to 13 wins and the AFC's No. 1 seed with a first-round bye, and he expects the Jacoby Brissett trade to Baltimore to be completed within a day.

“If you look at the rest of their schedule, it's not hard to see a path here to 13 wins and potentially the number 1 seed in the AFC.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 1 season win total, 1 seeding, byes and home field and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

Where this call stands in the room

Jacksonville Jaguars · 2026 season · wins

16 calls from 10 pundits between 8 wins and 13 wins. Albert Breer said 13 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet

Albert Breer — 13 winsthe room — 16 calls from 10 punditsmedian 10 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jacoby Brissett to move to Baltimore Ravens

    “You're bringing in Jacoby Brissett. I expect that trade to be finalized today or tomorrow, maybe finalized by the time you're watching this.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    156
    player:
    Jacoby Brissett
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    BAL
    was with:
    ARI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → BAL (from ARI)
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.56
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to take the top seed

    “potentially the number 1 overall, the number 1 seed in the AFC. And so that would mean a bye, that would mean the AFC going to North Florida”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 13 wins

    “If you look at the rest of their schedule, it's not hard to see a path here to 13 wins and potentially the number 1 overall, the number 1 seed in the AFC.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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