Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 31, 2025
Rosenthal's three picks against the spread: Seahawks on the road at Washington (their most confident pick of the week), Bears -3 over the Bengals, and the Cardinals to beat the Cowboys outright on Monday night. They also said they're taking the Chiefs in Chiefs-Bills, though it wasn't one of their official picks.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromAlso that this team does not deserve to be two and six, which they would be with lost. They're better than that. I think they're going to get a win on Monday Night football.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Week 9 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidOct 31, 2025
- GradedAug 7, 2026
- 1Chicago Bears to beat Bengals“Bears minus three. Okay, that's against the Bengals. Yep, coaching mismatch... I just think the Bears their floor is much higher. I think we get this win.”
- 2Kansas City Chiefs to beat Bills“I'm taking the Chiefs, but I don't feel amazing about it.”
- 3Arizona Cardinals to beat Cowboys“Arizona Cardinals yep, Monday Night Football plus two and a half... I think they're going to get a win on Monday Night football.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears to beat Bengals1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +156 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs to beat Bills2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −156 | |
| Arizona Cardinals to beat Cowboys3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +156 | |
| 3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 66.7 | 33.3 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat Bengals
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.56difficulty=+156skillClosing line (Nov 2): Bears by 3 · favorite pick, Bears 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 47-42
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CIN
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
2Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Bills
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.56difficulty=−156skillClosing line (Nov 2): Chiefs by 2.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs 55%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 21-28
- skill:
- −156
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
3Game Outcome PicksArizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals to beat Cowboys
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.56difficulty=+156skillClosing line (Nov 3): Cowboys by 3.5 · underdog pick, Cardinals 39%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- ARI
- score:
- 27-17
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- ARI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 33.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.