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Shannon Sharpe#42 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 11, 2026

Sharpe predicted Matthew Stafford would throw four touchdowns in the Thursday night game against the 49ers, picked Tampa Bay to beat Cincinnati at home, took the Broncos over Kansas City on Monday night with Bonitto getting 2.5 sacks, and expects big fantasy value from kicker Brandon Aubrey.

Said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#42Shannon Sharpe’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Shannon Sharpe said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Matthew Stafford is going to get me off to a great start tonight when he throws for four touchdowns.
Shannon Sharpe, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Nightcap (podcast)
The episode
Nightcap Hour 2: LIVE from Las Vegas - Ryan Garcia Predicts EASY Victory vs. Conor Benn
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 10
  2. PlayedSep 13–14
  3. GradedSep 15–16
  1. 1Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City“I got the Broncos. They game, too... It ain't going to beat that defense the Broncos got.”
  2. 2Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Bengals“You worry about your team getting beat by Tampa at home.”
  3. 3Bo Nix to record 2.5 sacks“And with an undrafted left tackle, an undrafted free agent left tackle, Benito going to have about two and a half.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City1Game Outcome PicksChiefs 31–100100−200
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Bengals2Game Outcome PicksBengals 33–270100−200
Bo Nix to record 2.5 sacks3Player Season Numbers————
3 calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting0100

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City

    What happenedChiefs 31–10Broncos at Chiefs
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill

    Closing line (Sep 14): Chiefs by 2.5 · underdog pick, Broncos 46%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    10-31
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Bengals

    What happenedBengals 33–27Buccaneers at Bengals
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill

    Closing line (Sep 13): Bengals by 3.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers about 1 in 3 (36%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    27-33
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Player Season NumbersBo NixDenver Broncos

    Bo Nix to record 2.5 sacks

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 100

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