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Shannon Sharpe· Sep 11, 2026

Sharpe predicted Matthew Stafford would throw four touchdowns in the Thursday night game against the 49ers, picked Tampa Bay to beat Cincinnati at home, took the Broncos over Kansas City on Monday night with Bonitto getting 2.5 sacks, and expects big fantasy value from kicker Brandon Aubrey.

“Matthew Stafford is going to get me off to a great start tonight when he throws for four touchdowns.”

said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City

    “I got the Broncos. They game, too... It ain't going to beat that defense the Broncos got.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    10-31
    skill:
    -200
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Bengals

    “You worry about your team getting beat by Tampa at home.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    27-33
    skill:
    -200
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Bo Nix to record 2.5 sacks

    “And with an undrafted left tackle, an undrafted free agent left tackle, Benito going to have about two and a half.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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