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Pete MartuneacOct 23, 2026

Martuneac expects Cole Kmet to miss extended time, pushing rookie Sam Roush into the Bears' TE2 role, and if Roush keeps struggling they predict Chicago will call up practice-squad veteran Stephen Carlson to take over as TE2.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Pete Martuneac said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
If he continues to struggle, I would expect to see the Bears call up eight-year veteran Stephen Carlson from the practice squad to take over the TE2 role until Kmet returns.
Pete Martuneac, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Cole Kmet Injury Will Force Struggling Bears Rookie into Significant Playing Time
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 23
  2. GradedNov 3
  1. 1Stephen Carlson to land on the practice squad“If he continues to struggle, I would expect to see the Bears call up eight-year veteran Stephen Carlson from the practice squad to take over the TE2 role until Kmet returns.”
  2. 2Sam Roush to be 2nd on the depth chart“The Bears are likely to be without their TE2 for the forseeable future, and that means struggling third-round rookie Sam Roush is about to be tossed into the deep end”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Stephen Carlson to land on the practice squad1Roster Spot Calls1 week on a 530100−167
Sam Roush to be 2nd on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting0100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsStephen CarlsonChicago Bears

    Stephen Carlson to land on the practice squad

    What happened1 week on a 53
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.67difficulty−167skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CHI
    skill:
    −167
    player:
    Stephen Carlson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he lands on the practice squad
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    1.67
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    12
    first week on the53:
    8
    weeks on the practice squad:
    7
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsSam RoushChicago Bears

    Sam Roush to be 2nd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.