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Michael Hanich· Oct 19, 2026

Hanich lays out best- and worst-case paths for Seattle heading into its Week 11 bye, saying the Seahawks could be 6-4 or 7-3 if they fix their offensive issues, or fall to 4-6 (or even 3-7) if they don't.

“There is a good chance that Seattle will be 6-4 or 7-3 if they manage to get the offense’s communication and utilization problems adjusted.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 2 season win totals — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Arizona Cardinals

    “Seattle could easily lose the next two games and then win against Arizona before losing to Las Vegas.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    3-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13

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  • Seattle Seahawks to finish with ? wins

    “There is a good chance that Seattle will be 6-4 or 7-3 if they manage to get the offense’s communication and utilization problems adjusted.”

    Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to finish with ? wins

    “Seattle could easily lose the next two games and then win against Arizona before losing to Las Vegas. This would put the Seahawks at 4-6 going into the bye week”

    Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.

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  • Las Vegas Raiders to beat Seahawks

    “Seattle could easily lose the next two games and then win against Arizona before losing to Las Vegas.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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