Nick Wright· Nov 7, 2026
Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.
“Because of their remaining schedule, I feel like they are the considerable favorite to be the one seed.”
said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →
10 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions, 2 playoff picks and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Where this call stands in the room
Jacksonville Jaguars · 2026 season7 calls from 6 pundits between 1 and 1. Nick Wright said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Jets at Chiefs 20 calls
- Packers at Patriots 25 calls
- Buccaneers at Bears 23 calls
- Chiefs at Falcons 5 calls
- Cardinals at Chiefs 4 calls
10 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsNov 7, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Packers
“Who you got? Patriots... I think it's the patriots by about a field goal.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 45-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 7, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Chicago Bears
“I'm going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers... Will the Bucks slow down Caleb and the Bears? I will say yes.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 24-27
- skill:
- −156
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers 29%.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat New York Jets
“I believe Kansas City is gonna be eight and two going into Buffalo... Jets, Falcons, Cardinals, and then a brutal five game stretch”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 12-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%).
- Conference ChampionsSan Francisco 49ersNov 7, 2026
San Francisco 49ers to reach the Super Bowl
“Chiefs, Niners is the Super Bowl matchup that if predictions week were today... I will go Chiefs, Niners.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Atlanta Falcons
“They have the Jets. They have the Falcons... the Cardinals... So they need to be eight and two going in that stretch. I think they will.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksJacksonville JaguarsNov 7, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“I don't think anyone in the entire NFL, except for the Jacksonville Jaguars, are locked into the playoffs. And the Jags are only locked in because of the division they're in.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jacksonville Jaguars to take the top seed
“Because of their remaining schedule, I feel like they are the considerable favorite to be the one seed. I think that the playoffs are going to go through Duval County for the first time ever.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 7, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“I don't even think this would be a silly loss. I think Tampa's gonna be a playoff team.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Arizona Cardinals
“Jets, Falcons, Cardinals, and then a brutal five game stretch of Buffalo, the Rams, the Bengals, the Patriots, the Niners. So they need to be eight and two going in that stretch. I think they will.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsNov 7, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“And so I will go Chiefs, Niners.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 83Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · New England PatriotsMiss · 14Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said he would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched his Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears.
- Eric ManginiGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.
- Donte JohnsonGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0The former NFL safety picked the Buccaneers to upset the Bears in their Week 9 matchup, arguing Todd Bowles' defense would frustrate Caleb Williams.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Jeremy BrenerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.