Cynthia Frelund· Oct 23, 2025
Freeland picked the Chiefs to beat Washington by a big margin, the Colts to blow out the Titans by more than two touchdowns, and Tampa Bay to rebound and win in New Orleans. She also likes the Ravens to win their division and had the Patriots winning.
“I think that the Chiefs win by a big margin”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
8 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 2 depth chart calls and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 8 have settled, averaging 83.3 out of 100, against 58.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensOct 23, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“For the futures market. I think them winning the division is a very smart, fun one situation to be in.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- won the division:
- no
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 23, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat New Orleans
“I think Tampa Bay rebounds in New Orleans”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 23-3
- skill:
- 161
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis ColtsOct 23, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to beat Tennessee
“I just think the Cults role... It's just really hard to imagine a scenario where Tennessee can really keep it close.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 14-38
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Depth Chart CallsTez JohnsonTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 23, 2025
Tez Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart
“the fact that Megg Buka and Tes Johnson will be the two starting outside wide receivers”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 75-13.42 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- TB
- skill:
- -13.42
- player:
- Tez Johnson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Emeka Egbuka to be 1st on the depth chart
“the fact that Megg Buka and Tes Johnson will be the two starting outside wide receivers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+13.42 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- TB
- skill:
- 13.42
- player:
- Emeka Egbuka
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 23, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Browns
“Plus I have the Patriots winning.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 13-32
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 23, 2025
Green Bay Packers to beat Pittsburgh
“I have green Bay winning this one... I just think that Green Bay wins this one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 35-25
- skill:
- 161
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsOct 23, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Commanders
“Monday Night Football. I think that the Chiefs win by a big margin”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 7-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.