Rich Hribar#24 of 87 NFL pundits · Jul 8, 2024
Hribar's 2024 tight end tiers place Sam LaPorta as their overall TE1, followed by Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews and Trey McBride in Tier 1. They also note McBride will remain a core piece of the Cardinals passing game but faces target competition from rookie Marvin Harrison Jr.
Published in writing · Sharp Football AnalysisRead the original
What Rich Hribar said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI have LaPorta as TE1 overall based on where he is in terms of career arc paired with Detroit's favorable schedule of indoor games
- Where it was published
- Sharp Football Analysis
- The piece
- Fantasy Football Tight End Tiers, 2024
- The original
- The copy as archived Jul 9, 2024 · the live page
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidJul 8, 2024
- GradedAug 5, 2026
- 1Fantasy Rankings“Tier 1 Fantasy Football TEs: Sam LaPorta, Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, Trey McBride ... I have LaPorta as TE1 overall”
- 2Sam LaPorta to be 2nd on the depth chart“We know he is at worst second behind Amon-Ra St. Brown on the target tree in Detroit.”
- 3Sam LaPorta to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards“I have LaPorta as TE1 overall based on where he is in terms of career arc paired with Detroit's favorable schedule of indoor games”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| “Tier 1 Fantasy Football TEs: Sam LaPorta, Travis Kelce, Mark…”1 | Fantasy Rankings | — | 20 | 50 | −60 | |
| Sam LaPorta to be 2nd on the depth chart2 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 1 | 91.67 | 100 | −16.67 | |
| Sam LaPorta to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards3 | Positional Finishes | Finished #6 | 58.33 | 91.67 | −66.67 | |
| 3 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 56.7 | 80.6 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 56.7 out of 100, against 80.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
“Tier 1 Fantasy Football TEs: Sam LaPorta, Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, Trey McBride ... I have LaPorta as TE1 overall”
VerdictMiss20Miss · naive 5020this call−50a naive guess=−30worse than naive×2difficulty=−60skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- −60
- placed:
- 4
- season:
- 2024
- players:
- 4
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- TE 4: 20
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Depth Chart CallsSam LaPortaDetroit Lions
Sam LaPorta to be 2nd on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 2 · by receptions91.67Hit · naive 10091.67this call−100a naive guess=−8.33worse than naive×2difficulty=−16.67skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- DET
- skill:
- −16.67
- player:
- Sam LaPorta
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- TE
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
3Positional FinishesSam LaPortaDetroit Lions
Sam LaPorta to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
What happenedFinished #6called #1 · by receiving yards58.33Close · naive 91.6758.33this call−91.67a naive guess=−33.34worse than naive×2difficulty=−66.67skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −66.67
- player:
- Sam LaPorta
- season:
- 2024
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- receiving yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 5
- actual finish:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
56.7naive 80.6
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Christian Booher · Roster Spot Calls · Anthony Lucas · Miss 0
Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes.Evan “Foxy” Fox · Score Predictions · Detroit Lions · Close 67
Foxy predicted a blowout Lions win over the Dolphins by a score of 45-21.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · Detroit Lions · Hit 100
Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said they wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · Detroit Lions · Hit 100
Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside their spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12.Richard Sherman · Score Predictions · Detroit Lions · Hit 81
Sherman ranked the 49ers first in their Week 9 top five ahead of Buffalo, Chicago, Jacksonville and Denver, picked every Week 9 game with scores, and gave midseason award picks headlined by Brock Purdy for MVP and Kyle Shanahan for Coach of the Year.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.