Rich Hribar· Jul 8, 2024
Hribar's 2024 tight end tiers place Sam LaPorta as his overall TE1, followed by Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews and Trey McBride in Tier 1. He also notes McBride will remain a core piece of the Cardinals passing game but faces target competition from rookie Marvin Harrison Jr.
“I have LaPorta as TE1 overall based on where he is in terms of career arc paired with Detroit's favorable schedule of indoor games”
published in writing · Sharp Football Analysis · read the original (as archived Jul 9, 2024) → · live page
3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 56.7 out of 100, against 80.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Fantasy RankingsJul 8, 2024
“Tier 1 Fantasy Football TEs: Sam LaPorta, Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, Trey McBride ... I have LaPorta as TE1 overall”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 50-60 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- -60
- placed:
- 4
- season:
- 2024
- players:
- 4
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- TE 4: 20
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsSam LaPortaDetroit LionsJul 8, 2024
Sam LaPorta to be 2nd on the depth chart
“We know he is at worst second behind Amon-Ra St. Brown on the target tree in Detroit.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- DET
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Sam LaPorta
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- TE
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Positional FinishesSam LaPortaDetroit LionsJul 8, 2024
Sam LaPorta to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
“I have LaPorta as TE1 overall based on where he is in terms of career arc paired with Detroit's favorable schedule of indoor games”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 91.67-66.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -66.67
- player:
- Sam LaPorta
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- receiving yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 5
- actual finish:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
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