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Carter Bahns#18 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 28, 2026

Bahns argues the Dolphins, already 0-3 and now without De'Von Achane for the season, are among the least talented rosters ever and face a brutal schedule, identifying five road/home dates (at the Jets, at the Colts, vs. the Jets, at the Packers, vs. the Chargers) as their most winnable games while doubting they can even approach their projected win total.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 3 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#18Carter Bahns’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Carter Bahns said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But if any franchise can be the first to drop every matchup on a 17-game schedule, it is this one.
Carter Bahns, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
De'Von Achane out for season: After losing best player, are Dolphins bound to go 0-17?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 28
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 25
  1. 1Miami Dolphins to beat New York Jets“These games project as the most winnable opportunities on the gauntlet: Week 12 | New York Jets | Home”
  2. 2Miami Dolphins to beat New York Jets“These games project as the most winnable opportunities on the gauntlet: Week 7 | New York Jets | Away”
  3. 3Miami Dolphins to beat Green Bay Packers“These games project as the most winnable opportunities on the gauntlet: Week 15 | Green Bay Packers | Away”
  4. 4Miami Dolphins to beat Indianapolis Colts“These games project as the most winnable opportunities on the gauntlet: Week 10 | Indianapolis Colts | Away”
  5. 5Miami Dolphins to beat Los Angeles Chargers“These games project as the most winnable opportunities on the gauntlet: Week 16 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Miami Dolphins to beat New York Jets1Game Outcome PicksDolphins 28–251000+189
Miami Dolphins to beat New York Jets2Game Outcome PicksDolphins 28–251000+189
Miami Dolphins to beat Green Bay Packers3Game Outcome Picks————
Miami Dolphins to beat Indianapolis Colts4Game Outcome Picks————
Miami Dolphins to beat Los Angeles Chargers5Game Outcome Picks————
5 calls · 2 hits · 3 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

2 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksMiami Dolphins

    Miami Dolphins to beat New York Jets

    What happenedDolphins 28–25Dolphins at Jets
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIA
    score:
    28-25
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    MIA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NYJ
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksMiami Dolphins

    Miami Dolphins to beat New York Jets

    What happenedDolphins 28–25Dolphins at Jets
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIA
    score:
    28-25
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    MIA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NYJ
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksMiami Dolphins

    Miami Dolphins to beat Green Bay Packers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksMiami Dolphins

    Miami Dolphins to beat Indianapolis Colts

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Game Outcome PicksMiami Dolphins

    Miami Dolphins to beat Los Angeles Chargers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 0

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.