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Mike Florio#15 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 19, 2026

Florio says free-agent cornerback Terrion Arnold will be placed on the Commissioner Exempt list once they sign, meaning they can't practice or play, and that Detroit will still owe them their guaranteed money — which is why they suspect Seattle may quietly back out of the agreement.

Published in writing · NBC SportsRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
#15Mike Florio’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Mike Florio said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Arnold, to no surprise , will land on the Commissioner Exempt list when he's signed
Mike Florio, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
NBC Sports
The piece
The Seahawks may be looking for a graceful exit from Terrion Arnold deal
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Terrion Arnold — “will land on the Commissioner Exempt list when he's signed”“Arnold, to no surprise , will land on the Commissioner Exempt list when he's signed, due to the eight pending felony charges that carry a potential sentence of life in prison.”
  2. 2Terrion Arnold to move to Detroit Lions“Unless the Lions have tried to void his guaranteed pay for 2026 and 2027 — and if Arnold loses the inevitable grievance — Arnold will be paid by Detroit.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Terrion Arnold — “will land on the Commissioner Exempt list when he's signed”1Roster Spot Calls————
Terrion Arnold to move to Detroit Lions2Trade and Signing Calls————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 1 roster spot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsTerrion ArnoldSeattle Seahawks

    Terrion Arnold — “will land on the Commissioner Exempt list when he's signed”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsTerrion ArnoldDetroit Lions

    Terrion Arnold to move to Detroit Lions

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.