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Daniel Jeremiah#25 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 16, 2025

Jeremiah stacked the top five AFC teams at the six-week mark: Colts first, Chargers second, Steelers third, Chiefs fourth and Broncos fifth (choosing Denver over Buffalo largely on defense).

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

35Miss · out of 100
Power RankingsThe callsettled
45A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
35This callout of 100
#25Daniel Jeremiah’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Daniel Jeremiah said

One I had Indy.
Daniel Jeremiah’s words, quoted for attribution
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
Unlocking Travis Hunter + Top 5 AFC Top Teams
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 16, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 35 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Power Rankings

    “One I had Indy... I put the charters at two... that's why I had them at two to one spot ahead of Pittsburgh... I put k C at four... And then the fifth spot, I came down to Denver and Buffalo, and I ended up going Denver.”

    VerdictMiss
    35Miss · naive 45
    35this call45a naive guess−10worse than naive1.67difficulty−16.7skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −16.7
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    35
    baseline:
    45
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    12
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More power rankings

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.