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Brandon Carney· Feb 24, 2026

Carney predicted AJ Brown would not be back with the Eagles, forecast a wave of free-agent landing spots (Breece Hall to the Chiefs, Alec Pierce to the 49ers, Rico Dowdle to the Saints, George Pickens to the Patriots, Mike Evans to the Bills), and named Week 1 starting quarterbacks for several teams in flux. He also gave fantasy takes on Javonte Williams, Chris Olave and others.

“So let's go with George Pickens to the Patriots.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) · read the original →

21 checkable claims — 11 trade and signing calls and 10 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 36 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

11 of 21 have settled so far, averaging 87.1 out of 100, against 87.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

21 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mike Evans to move to Buffalo Bills

    “Neither of us have given Mike Evans a home. I'm gonna send him to the most obvious place possible other than Tampa Bay, which is the Buffalo Bills.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Mike Evans
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    BUF
    was with:
    TB
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    SF
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Therefore, I am also gonna just assume they stick with Michael Pinnock.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    ATL
    skill:
    8.33
    player:
    Michael Penix Jr.
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I think I'll probably go the same way with you, Aaron Rodgers here.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Aaron Rodgers
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I'm I'm going with Kyler Murray.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    ARI
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Kyler Murray
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Give me Justin Fields. They trade they trade penny they trade some pennies for Justin Fields.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NYJ
    skill:
    8.33
    player:
    Justin Fields
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Mac Jones is my pick for the Raiders starting quarterback next year.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SF
    skill:
    -8.33
    player:
    Mac Jones
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I bet the Joe Flacco retirement tour continues and runs it back in Indy for a couple games... So I'm gonna go with Joe Flacco for week one.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CIN
    skill:
    8.33
    player:
    Joe Flacco
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I have the Cardinals with Malik Willis... So I'm gonna go with Malik Willis to Cardinals.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    GB
    skill:
    -8.33
    player:
    Malik Willis
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • C.J. Stroud to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Texans, do you see any change for the Texans? No... I agree.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    HOU
    skill:
    0
    player:
    C.J. Stroud
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Vikings, I am gonna say reunion time and I'm going with Kirk Cousins.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    ATL
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Kirk Cousins
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tyler Huntley to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I'm gonna go with Tyler Huntley, Pat... So I'll go with Tyler Huntley here.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    BAL
    skill:
    -8.33
    player:
    Tyler Huntley
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Josh Jacobs to move to Green Bay Packers

    “Dream Bay Packers, there's rumors they might cut Josh Jacobs.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Breece Hall to move to Kansas City Chiefs

    “we are going to free my man, Bruce Hall, and we are going to send him to the land of the Kansas City Chiefs”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • George Pickens to move to Dallas Cowboys

    “George Pickens can't guarantee he's not going to burn the building down because he is going to be franchise tag by the cowboys.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Rico Dowdle to move to New Orleans Saints

    “I have Rico Daudel to the Saints. So that's what I'm gonna pick here.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Alec Pierce to move to San Francisco 49ers

    “I'm going Alec Pierce to the San Francisco forty niners.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Alec Pierce to move

    “I I think we expect Alec Pierce to probably have a new home.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kyle Pitts to move to Atlanta Falcons

    “Kyle motherfucking Pitts is expected to be franchise tagged by the Atlanta Falcons.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts

    “quarterback wise, Daniel Jones, we expect him to probably land back with the Colts here”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jauan Jennings to move

    “I mean, Jwan Jennings is probably gone.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • George Pickens to move to New England Patriots

    “I'm sending George Pickens to the Patriots.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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