Greg AumanSep 21, 2026
Auman assesses the eight 0-2 teams, putting the Chargers, Buccaneers, Commanders and Falcons at high panic; they expect the Chargers to lose their next two road games at Buffalo and Seattle and sees no change for Miami against Kansas City in Week 3.
Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original
What Greg Auman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromTheir next two games? At the Bills and at the Seahawks, where they'll do really well to avoid being 0-4 when they host the Broncos in Week 5.
- Where it was published
- Fox Sports
- The piece
- Is It Over For Chargers, Texans? Assessing Which 0-2 Teams Need To Panic The Most
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 21
- PlayedSep 27–Oct 4
- GradedSep 28–Oct 5
- 1Seattle Seahawks to beat Chargers“Their next two games? At the Bills and at the Seahawks, where they'll do really well to avoid being 0-4 when they host the Broncos in Week 5.”
- 2Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers“Their next two games? At the Bills and at the Seahawks, where they'll do really well to avoid being 0-4 when they host the Broncos in Week 5.”
- 3Kansas City Chiefs to beat Miami Dolphins“The Chiefs come to town in Week 3, and it shouldn't look much different from this week.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks to beat Chargers1 | Game Outcome Picks | Seahawks 30–23 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers2 | Game Outcome Picks | Bills 24–16 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs to beat Miami Dolphins3 | Game Outcome Picks | Chiefs 24–10 | 100 | 0 | +194 | |
| 3 calls · 3 hits · all settled | 100 | 66.7 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chargers
What happenedSeahawks 30–23Chargers at Seahawks100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.94difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 23-30
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
2Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers
What happenedBills 24–16Chargers at Bills100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.94difficulty=0skillClosing line (Sep 27): Bills by 7 · favorite pick, Bills about 3 in 4 (73%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 16-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
3Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Miami Dolphins
What happenedChiefs 24–10Chiefs at Dolphins100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.94difficulty=+194skillClosing line (Sep 27): Chiefs by 10 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 5 in 6 (82%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 24-10
- skill:
- 194
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 66.7
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.