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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 3, 2025

Brockman agrees that Carson Wentz and the Chiefs will pull the upset over Denver.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

I think I agree with you. I'm gonna go Carson Wentz.
Our reading: Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos
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  1. SaidJan 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.06difficulty−106skill

    Closing line (Jan 5): Broncos by 10.5 · underdog pick, Chiefs about 1 in 5 (20%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    0-38
    skill:
    −106
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

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