Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 2, 2026
Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.
Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original
What Nick Wright said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think the Steelers are gonna win for the record.
- Where it was said
- First Things First (podcast)
- The episode
- Ravens vs. Steelers preview, Miami beats Ohio Sate, Panthers vs. Bucs, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
- The original
- Hear the original
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- Tell us and we will look
- SaidJan 2
- GradedAug 14–17
- 1Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Ravens“I think the Steelers are gonna win for the record... I think the Steelers went outright.”
- 2Cincinnati Bengals to beat Browns“I I don't think they're gonna win, but I think he's gonna get it.”
- 3Myles Garrett to record 23 sacks“But I agree with Brew. I think he'd I I don't think they're gonna win, but I think he's gonna get it.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Ravens1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Cincinnati Bengals to beat Browns2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Myles Garrett to record 23 sacks3 | Player Season Numbers | 23 | 100 | 0 | +106 | |
| 3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 66.7 | 33.3 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Ravens
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.06difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 4): Ravens by 4.5 · underdog pick, Steelers about 1 in 3 (34%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 24-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
2Game Outcome PicksCincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Browns
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.06difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 4): Bengals by 9.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 4 in 5 (79%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CLE
- score:
- 20-18
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CIN
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
3Player Season NumbersMyles GarrettCleveland Browns
Myles Garrett to record 23 sacks
What happened23called 23100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.06difficulty=+106skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 9.03
- skill:
- 106
- what happened:
- 23
- player:
- Myles Garrett
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- they said:
- 23
- statistic:
- sacks
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- last season:
- 14
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- position average:
- 4.06
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 33.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bryan DeArdo · Trade and Signing Calls · Joey Porter Jr. · Miss 0
The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Discussing Myles Garrett's trade request, Eisen said they expect Garrett to get their way and be moved out of Cleveland rather than stay, which is why staying would be shocking.Doug Joubert · Score Predictions · Cleveland Browns · Miss 26
Joubert picks the Browns to win 28-17, saying the Saints haven't improved over the first half of the season despite Cleveland starting Shedeur Sanders.Pat McAfee · Game Outcome Picks · Cleveland Browns · Miss 0
McAfee picked the Browns, with Shedeur Sanders starting, to beat the Saints in New Orleans.Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.