Ari Weitzman· Oct 6, 2024
Weitzman says he has a gut hunch, despite conventional wisdom favoring Trump there, that Nevada will go for Harris and that the data will come around to it.
“I've sort of been harboring this, like, gut level hunch that it's gonna go for Harris”
said on air, transcribed by us · Tangle (podcast) · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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1 checkable claim in this take
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- Race WinnersOct 6, 2024
“I've sort of been harboring this, like, gut level hunch that it's gonna go for Harris... maybe the data's gonna start reaffirming this hunch that I have. I do think that that's gonna happen.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- right:
- no
- race:
- 2024-president-nv
- election year:
- 2024
- skill:
- 0
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Democratic
- result from:
- fec-2024-president
- who won:
- Donald Trump
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- race name:
- 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Kamala Harris
- days before the vote when called:
- 29
- difficulty:
- 1.04
- the winner's party:
- Republican
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2024-11-05
- the result is:
- certified
- the party they named:
- Democratic
More race winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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