Marcus Mosher#41 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 15, 2024

Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 7, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and adds that the Texans could wrap up the AFC South by Thanksgiving, the Steelers should make the playoffs, the Cardinals are not a playoff team, and Mason Rudolph will eventually replace Will Levis as the Titans' starter.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

4 of 4calls landed4 hits · all settled

95.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls

91.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

4 of 4Settlednone still waiting

#41Marcus Mosher’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Marcus Mosher said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

There aren’t three teams in the NFL who are worse than the Jaguars right now.

Marcus Mosher, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: The 33rd Team
The piece: 2024 NFL Week 7 Power Rankings: Cowboys Tumble Outside Top 15 | The 33rd Team
The original: The copy as archived Oct 22, 2024
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.

SaidOct 15, 2024
GradedAug 5–17, 2026

1Houston Texans to win the division“The Texans already have a massive lead in the AFC South, and they could have the division wrapped up by Thanksgiving.”
2Mason Rudolph to be 1st on the depth chart“It feels like it’s only a matter of time before Mason Rudolph replaces him in the starting lineup.”
3Power Rankings“Here is our full set of power rankings heading into Week 7: 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots”
4Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs“Pittsburgh isn’t a great team, but it has a clear identity and should still wind up being a playoff team.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Houston Texans to win the division¹	Division Winners	—	100	100	0
Mason Rudolph to be 1st on the depth chart²	Depth Chart Calls	No. 2	91.67	100	−13.92
“Here is our full set of power rankings heading into Week 7: 1.…”³	Power Rankings	—	89.7	67.38	+37.28
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs⁴	Playoff Picks	Made the playoffs	100	100	0
4 calls · 4 hits · all settled			95.3	91.8

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 95.3 out of 100, against 91.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Division Winners Houston Texans
Houston Texans to win the division
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.67difficulty0skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
HOU
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
1.67
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
won the division:
yes
Think this is wrong?
2Depth Chart Calls Mason Rudolph Tennessee Titans
Mason Rudolph to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
91.67Hit · naive 100
91.67this call100a naive guess−8.33worse than naive1.67difficulty−13.92skill
How this was scored
club:
TEN
skill:
−13.92
player:
Mason Rudolph
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.67
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
3Power Rankings
“Here is our full set of power rankings heading into Week 7: 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots”
VerdictHit
89.7Hit · naive 67.38
89.7this call67.38a naive guess22.32better than naive1.67difficulty+37.28skill
How this was scored
skill:
37.28
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
89.7
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
4Playoff Picks Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.67difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
95.3naive 91.8

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Jalen Milroe · Miss 0
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Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.
Zachary Pereles · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
Pereles writes that if Deshaun Watson can't clear concussion protocol in time, the Browns would likely turn to second-year quarterback Shedeur Sanders to start Week 9 against the Saints.
Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.
Garrett Podell · Depth Chart Calls · Carson Beck · Miss 0
Podell argues the Cardinals have maxed out with Jacoby Brissett and that rookie Carson Beck should be ramped up to replace them as starter, targeting Week 8 at Dallas for Beck's regular-season debut.