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Steve PalazzoloOct 15, 2026

Palazzolo expects the Rams to sweep their upcoming soft stretch of the schedule, winning all five games against the Cardinals, Raiders, Chargers, Commanders and Cardinals again to reach 7-3 before their bye.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Check the Mic (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 5calls landed3 hits · 2 misses · all settled
60Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
20A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4Games calledeveryone’s picks below
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Steve Palazzolo said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Rams should go five and o.
Steve Palazzolo, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Check the Mic (podcast)
The episode
NFL Week 6 Preview & Picks: EVERY GAME!
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidOct 15
  2. PlayedOct 18–Nov 8
  3. GradedOct 19–Nov 8
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to beat Commanders“they're gonna play the Cardinals, Raiders, Chargers, Commanders, and Cardinals before a buy... Rams should go five and o.”
  2. 2Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers“they're gonna play the Cardinals, Raiders, Chargers, Commanders, and Cardinals before a buy... Rams should go five and o.”
  3. 3Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders“they're gonna play the Cardinals, Raiders, Chargers, Commanders, and Cardinals before a buy... Rams should go five and o.”
  4. 4Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals“So we're expecting the Rams to go five and over the next five weeks. They're going to be sitting here at seven and three”
  5. 5Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals“they're gonna play the Cardinals, Raiders, Chargers, Commanders, and Cardinals before a buy... So the next five weeks should be... Rams should go five and o.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to beat Commanders1Game Outcome PicksRams 20–131000+172
Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers2Game Outcome PicksRams 24–91001000
Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders3Game Outcome PicksRams 35–211000+172
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals4Game Outcome PicksCardinals 18–16000
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals5Game Outcome PicksCardinals 18–16000
5 calls · 3 hits · 2 misses · all settled6020

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 5 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Commanders

    What happenedRams 20–13Rams at Commanders
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    20-13
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers

    What happenedRams 24–9Chargers at Rams
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders

    What happenedRams 35–21Rams at Raiders
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.72difficulty+172skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    35-21
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals

    What happenedCardinals 18–16Cardinals at Rams
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 5 in 6 (84%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    18-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals

    What happenedCardinals 18–16Cardinals at Rams
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 5 in 6 (84%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    18-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    60naive 20

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.