Tom Pelissero#5 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 21, 2025

Pelissero doubted Micah Parsons would ultimately sit out, said the most logical outcome is Parsons showing up and playing out their contract, and pegged their eventual deal in the $45 million-per-year range; they also predicted the Vikings' week one starter opposite Justin Jefferson is not currently on their roster, floating Adam Thielen as a target, and said Justin Jefferson will be good to go for week one.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 3Settled1 still waiting

#5Tom Pelissero’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tom Pelissero said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I find it hard to believe that Micah Parsons is simply not going to play.

Tom Pelissero, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode: Hollywood Reporter’s Top 25 Sports Movie List
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 21, 2025
GradedAug 13–Sep 18, 2026

1Adam Thielen to move to Minnesota Vikings“keep that name in mind among others as a potential target who might even be out there in the starting lineup for the Vikings come week one”
2Justin Jefferson to be 1st on the depth chart“It's not about Justin Jefferson. He's back from the hamstring. He's gonna be good to go week one.”
3Micah Parsons: a roster call with no direction stated“number one would be showing up and playing for what he's doing, which I think is around $25,000,000 this season”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Adam Thielen to move to Minnesota Vikings¹	Trade and Signing Calls	Ended up with MIN/PIT	100	0	+200
Justin Jefferson to be 1st on the depth chart²	Depth Chart Calls	No. 1	100	100	0
Micah Parsons: a roster call with no direction stated³	Roster Spot Calls	—	—	—	—
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting			100	50

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 roster spot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Trade and Signing Calls Adam Thielen Minnesota Vikings
Adam Thielen to move to Minnesota Vikings
What happenedEnded up with MIN/PITcalled MIN
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
Adam Thielen
season:
2025
claimed:
MIN
was with:
CAR
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
MIN/PIT
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Depth Chart Calls Justin Jefferson Minnesota Vikings
Justin Jefferson to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by receptions
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
MIN
skill:
0
player:
Justin Jefferson
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
3Roster Spot Calls Micah Parsons Dallas Cowboys
Micah Parsons: a roster call with no direction stated
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 50

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
Justin Penik · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Jones · Hit 100
Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants.
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Lock · Hit 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Jalen Milroe · Miss 0
Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.
Zachary Pereles · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
Pereles writes that if Deshaun Watson can't clear concussion protocol in time, the Browns would likely turn to second-year quarterback Shedeur Sanders to start Week 9 against the Saints.
Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.
Garrett Podell · Depth Chart Calls · Carson Beck · Miss 0
Podell argues the Cardinals have maxed out with Jacoby Brissett and that rookie Carson Beck should be ramped up to replace them as starter, targeting Week 8 at Dallas for Beck's regular-season debut.