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Conor Orr#87 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 5, 2026

Orr ranks 12 NFL head coaches by how hot their seat is, from most likely to be replaced (Todd Bowles) to least (DeMeco Ryans), arguing more jobs may open than expected because of a deep crop of play-callers and Mike Tomlin's availability.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waitinggraded once the result is in

What Conor Orr said

Consider this a ranking from the hottest seat, to the least hot, of the coaches that we should consider in this sort of category.
Conor Orr’s words, quoted for attribution
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Which NFL Coaches Are on the Hot Seat and Why More Jobs May Open Than You Expect (Again)
The original
Read the original

How the call scored

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Head Coach Rankings

    “Consider this a ranking from the hottest seat, to the least hot... 1. Todd Bowles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers; 2. Aaron Glenn, New York Jets; 3. Dan Quinn, Washington Commanders; 4. Matt LaFleur, Green Bay Packers; 5. Zac Taylor, Cincinnati Bengals; 6. Mike McCarthy, Pittsburgh Steelers; 7. Shane Steichen, Indianapolis Colts; 8. Nick Sirianni, Philadelphia Eagles; 9. Jim Harbaugh, Los Angeles Chargers; 10. Robert Saleh, Tennessee Titans; 11. Dan Campbell, Detroit Lions; 12. DeMeco Ryans, Houston Texans”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

More head coach rankings

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.