Tyler Sullivan· Oct 29, 2026
Sullivan picks the Packers 30-20 over the Panthers and the Patriots to beat the Dolphins 30-20 on the road.
“this should be a double-digit victory for New England”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 91.7 out of 100, against 59.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Panthers at Packers 26 calls
- Patriots at Dolphins 19 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsOct 29, 2026
New England Patriots 30 — Dolphins 20
“Tyler Sullivan — Patriots (-7.5) 30-20 over Dolphins.”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 39.8+77.75 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-19
- skill:
- 77.75
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 88.1
- baseline:
- 39.8
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- naive home margin:
- 0.72
- predicted margin:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7, total 41.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 10) and more points (50). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersOct 29, 2026
Green Bay Packers 30 — Panthers 20
“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Packers 30-20 over Panthers”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 79.94+24.63 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 19-27
- skill:
- 24.63
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 79.94
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- naive home margin:
- −0.43
- predicted margin:
- 10
Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Packers win (by 10) and more points (50).
What others said about the same people
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · New England PatriotsMiss · 14Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said he would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched his Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Gurzi expects Seattle to win comfortably again with Drew Lock starting, predicting a 27-10 Seahawks victory.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Houston TexansClose · 55Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Bryan DeArdoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Predicts Seattle runs away with the game, 27-10 over Arizona.
- Russell BaxterScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 79Predicts the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 26-21 in Week 9, with Seattle's pass rush making Gardner Minshew uncomfortable.