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Pat Fitzmaurice· Nov 7, 2026

Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said he would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.

“So I've got Patriots 24 to 21.”

said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 availability calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 14.3 out of 100, against 7.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • New England Patriots 24 — Packers 21

    “Patriots are three point favorites. Total is 45 or no, sorry, 44 and a half... So I've got Patriots 24 to 21.”

    Miss · 14Scored 14.29a naive guess scored 7.44+10.68 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    10.68
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    14.29
    baseline:
    7.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3, total 44.5 · this 24–21 calls the line’s margin (Patriots by 3) and more points (45).

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  • “I think there's a chance the Colts either don't play him or barely play him... I would not be surprised if he were inactive. (Week 9, Cowboys at Colts)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Evan Hull to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “Debro, I think our guy Evan Hull is the backup running back for the Arizona Cardinals this week.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • “He's been practicing, isn't going to play this week, but I think he maybe comes back in week 10 or maybe week 11.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More availability calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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