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Cody RourkeSep 8, 2026

Rourke expects the Broncos to finish either 13-4 or 12-5 and predicts they open the season by winning at Kansas City by at least 10 points.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Broncos (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Cody Rourke said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
It's either thirteen and four or twelve and five.
Cody Rourke, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
BRONCOS SQUAD SHOW: Ultimate 2026 Season Preview, Broncos vs Chiefs Picks & BOLD NFL Takes
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 8
  2. PlayedSep 14
  3. GradedSep 16
  1. 1Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City“Are they are they starting the season with a dub? ... Yes. Absolutely. Okay. They're gonna they're gonna go to Kansas City. They're gonna win by at least 10 points.”
  2. 2Denver Broncos to finish with 12–13 wins“It's either thirteen and four or twelve and five. That's kinda where I'm leaning right now.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City1Game Outcome PicksChiefs 31–100100−200
Denver Broncos to finish with 12–13 wins2Season Win Totals————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting0100

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City

    What happenedChiefs 31–10Broncos at Chiefs
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill

    Closing line (Sep 14): Chiefs by 2.5 · underdog pick, Broncos 46%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    10-31
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Season Win TotalsDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to finish with 12–13 wins

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

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