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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · May 9, 2025

Eisen predicted Nick Chubb will not return to Cleveland and will have to sign elsewhere, and offered a top five list of possible landing spots (Dolphins, Bears, Broncos, Steelers, Cowboys).

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Ended up with HOUWhat happenedsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

So it does appear that Nick Chubb, will end up having to move on somewhere.
Our reading: Nick Chubb to move
The episode
Top 5 Nick Chubb Landing Spots
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMay 9, 2025
  2. GradedSep 18, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happenedEnded up with HOU
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Nick Chubb
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    CLE
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    HOU
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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