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Nate Tice#17 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 24, 2026

Tice matched their guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 6calls landed5 hits · 1 miss · all settled
83.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
66.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#17Nate Tice’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nate Tice said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm also going Ravens. I think they match up well against this team.
Nate Tice, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)
The episode
NFL Week 3 preview & bold predictions: Ravens vs. Cowboys in Brazil, buying a Broncos upset? feat. Steven Ruiz
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 24
  2. PlayedSep 27–28
  3. GradedSep 29
  1. 1Baltimore Ravens to beat Cowboys“I'm also going Ravens. I think they match up well against this team”
  2. 2Detroit Lions to beat Jets“Yeah. I I think so too. I I think they're racing for a 40 burger potentially in this game.”
  3. 3Philadelphia Eagles to beat Bears“I I actually think the Bears run game will have some moments... but I think the Eagles have that one.”
  4. 4Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Patriots“I I'm same prediction. I I'm right there with you. I I think the Jags, but I think this one's close.”
  5. 5Denver Broncos to beat Rams“I thought I was gonna be the one that were going with the Broncos here... I I think the Broncos have enough team speed to keep up with this Rams offense”
  6. 6Las Vegas Raiders to beat Saints“I'm going with Raiders too, and I just trust their front and they're doing some cool stuff on defense.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Baltimore Ravens to beat Cowboys1Game Outcome PicksRavens 34–311000+189
Detroit Lions to beat Jets2Game Outcome PicksLions 31–241001000
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Bears3Game Outcome PicksBears 27–70100−189
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Patriots4Game Outcome PicksJaguars 35–61001000
Denver Broncos to beat Rams5Game Outcome PicksBroncos 30–261001000
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Saints6Game Outcome PicksRaiders 35–271000+189
6 calls · 5 hits · 1 miss · all settled83.366.7

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 83.3 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to beat Cowboys

    What happenedRavens 34–31Ravens at Cowboys
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Ravens by 3 · favorite pick, Ravens 60%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to beat Jets

    What happenedLions 31–24Jets at Lions
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Lions by 7 · favorite pick, Lions about 3 in 4 (73%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    24-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Bears

    What happenedBears 27–7Eagles at Bears
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill

    Closing line (Sep 28): Eagles by 3.5 · favorite pick, Eagles 64%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    7-27
    skill:
    −189
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Patriots

    What happenedJaguars 35–6Patriots at Jaguars
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Jaguars by 3 · favorite pick, Jaguars 59%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    6-35
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to beat Rams

    What happenedBroncos 30–26Rams at Broncos
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Rams 50%, Broncos 50%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    26-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas Raiders

    Las Vegas Raiders to beat Saints

    What happenedRaiders 35–27Raiders at Saints
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Saints by 3.5 · underdog pick, Raiders 37%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LV
    score:
    35-27
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NO
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once

    83.3naive 66.7

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

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