Patriots vs Jaguars predictions, graded
New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 3, 2026 · Sun, Sep 27 · Final: Patriots 6, Jaguars 35 · Updated
Who do pundits pick in Patriots vs Jaguars? Of 17 pundits with a call on record, 14 take the Jaguars and 3 take the Patriots. 7 named a score; the median has the Jaguars by 4. The Jaguars won 35-6, so 14 of 17 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 62 out of 100.
Who the room took
17 pundits · each counted once, by their latest callPatriots vs Jaguars picks by outlet
Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.
- CBS Sportsall 6 Jaguars
- First Things First (podcast)Patriots 2, Jaguars 1
- Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)all 2 Jaguars
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Jaguars 1, Patriots 1
The other 4 pundits write or talk elsewhere: all 4 Jaguars.
Patriots vs Jaguars score predictions
7 pundits named a score; the median call is Jaguars by 4, and the final was Jaguars by 29.
Each dot is one pundit’s latest score call, placed at the winning margin it named. The solid bar is how the game actually finished. Hover or tap a dot for the pundit and the score.
- Nick WrightJaguars 24, Patriots 17Close · 50
- Chris SimmsJaguars 23, Patriots 21Close · 50
- Jordan DajaniJaguars 24, Patriots 20Close · 50
- Jared DubinJaguars 23, Patriots 17Close · 50
- Tyler SullivanJaguars 23, Patriots 21Close · 50
- Pete PriscoJaguars 21, Patriots 16Close · 50
- John BreechJaguars 23, Patriots 20Close · 50
Patriots at Jaguars: how they came in
The Patriots are 1-1; the Jaguars are 1-1. On win totals, 17 pundits put the Patriots at 10 wins on average, and 12 pundits put the Jaguars at 10.8 wins on average.
EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, Florida
- Record coming in
- 1-1 · 30 scored, 16 allowed
- Last games
- W 20-3 vs Steelers Week 2
- L 10-13 at Seahawks Week 1
- Unit ranks
- offense 11th, defense 17th of 32 (this season)
- Last season
- 14-3
- Win-total calls
- 18 pundits · average 10 · 9 to 17 wins
- The room's picks
- the side most pundits took won 2 of 2 Patriots games
- Record coming in
- 1-1 · 47 scored, 30 allowed
- Last games
- L 13-20 at Broncos Week 2
- W 34-10 vs Browns Week 1
- Unit ranks
- offense 3rd, defense 4th of 32 (this season)
- Last season
- 13-4
- Win-total calls
- 13 pundits · average 10.8 · 6 to 17 wins
- The room's picks
- the side most pundits took won 1 of 2 Jaguars games
Patriots and Jaguars players to watch
Each club’s starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit on our leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick (69 pundits clear that bar), made since the 2026 schedule came out. “No.” is their rank there.
Patriots
- Drake MayeStarting QB · QB
2,282 passing yards · 18 TD, 11 INT · 65.4% completions · 219 rushing yards · 9 games · 6th in the NFL in passing yards
Drake Maye to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points
“But yeah, he's either high-end or mid-range QB1, and everyone should be starting him. And the Drake May panic of a week ago was never justified.” the article →
Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“Maye should be considered a strong top-five fantasy quarterback option with the ability to push Josh Allen for the QB1 spot if everything goes his way in 2026.” the article →
- Rhamondre StevensonRB1 · RB
399 rushing yards on 102 carries · 4 TD · 26 catches for 258 · 9 games · 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Unless Stevenson falls off in 2026, he should remain the lead back for New England after playing at least 57% of the snaps in nine of his 14 games played in 2025.” the article →
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart
“things are trending towards Stevenson opening the season with the backfield largely to himself” the article →
- DeMario DouglasWR1 · WR
31 catches for 434 yards · 4 TD · 9 games · 31st in the NFL in receiving yards
DeMario Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart
“With Romeo Doubs on IR with a shoulder injury, DeMario Douglas might be New England’s de facto No. 1 receiver when the Patriots host the Packers this Sunday.” the article →
DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart
“New England's top three wide receivers for Sunday will be Kyle Williams, Efton Chism III and DeMario Douglas.” the article →
- Hunter HenryTE1 · TE
32 catches for 361 yards · 2 TD · 9 games · 49th in the NFL in receiving yards
- Elijah PonderSack leader · LB
7.5 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 9 games · 4th in the NFL in sacks
- Christian EllissTackle leader · LB
1.5 sacks · 32 solo tackles · 9 games · 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
“Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play.” the article →
Jaguars
- Trevor LawrenceStarting QB · QB
1,932 passing yards · 18 TD, 4 INT · 65.2% completions · 8 games · 15th in the NFL in passing yards
Trevor Lawrence to stay with Jacksonville Jaguars
“QB Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars ... the dozen players that most likely won't be traded” the article →
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (being drafted as a low-end QB1, according to average draft position (ADP))
“There's high-end QB1 potential here — as we saw late last season — and yet Lawrence is being drafted as a low-end QB1, according to average draft position (ADP).” the article →
- Bhayshul TutenRB1 · RB
521 rushing yards on 122 carries · 7 TD · 15 catches for 181 · 8 games · 15th in the NFL in rushing yards
Bhayshul Tuten to be 1st on the depth chart
“Jaguars RB Chris Rodriguez Jr. has no stand-alone value. The Jacksonville backfield belongs to Bhayshul Tuten.” the article →
Bhayshul Tuten to finish top 22 at his position, by fantasy points
“Facial Twoton my RB twenty two in my rankings, and I think he's gonna have a fantastic season.” the article →
- Parker WashingtonWR1 · WR
29 catches for 493 yards · 5 TD · 8 games · 24th in the NFL in receiving yards
Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (WR35, 83rd overall)
“FantasyPros’ Real Time ADP currently has Washington going WR35, 83rd overall. That’s the late seventh round, and I’d be willing to take Washington in the mid-to-late sixth.” the article →
Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart
“Christian Watson versus Parker Washington, where I'm like, those guys are the clear wide receiver ones in their offenses.” the article →
- Brenton StrangeTE1 · TE
30 catches for 356 yards · 1 TD · 8 games · 50th in the NFL in receiving yards
Brenton Strange to be 1st on the depth chart
“Strange remains the team's top pass-catching tight end.” the article →
Brenton Strange to be 5th on the depth chart
“as the depth chart currently stands, he’s likely the fourth or fifth option in the target hierarchy” the article →
- Travon WalkerSack leader · DE
3 sacks · 8 solo tackles · 8 games · 51st in the NFL in sacks
- Jessie BatesTackle leader · S
35 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games · 20th in the NFL in solo tackles
Every call on Patriots at Jaguars
1–17 of 17
Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — New England 17
Jacksonville, 24. New England, 17.
New England Patriots to beat Jags
The Patriots beat the Jags. Let's go. That's a guarantee
New England Patriots to beat Jaguars
so I'll take the Patriots over the Jaguars, but not for a ton of confidence
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat New England Patriots
I am way more confident than you are in this game. I'm taking Jacksonville for five tips here.
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 21
So I'm gonna take Jacksonville to win a close one. They're at home... Jaguars winning twenty three twenty one
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Patriots
I'd be really surprised if the Pats won this game.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Patriots
I I'm same prediction. I I'm right there with you. I I think the Jags, but I think this one's close.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Patriots
I'm gonna lean Jaguars even I I think they win by, like, a field goal, but I do think it's competitive game. And I think it's a low scoring game
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 17
I think they rediscover some of that here and take care of the Patriots at home. Prediction: Jaguars 23, Patriots 17
Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Patriots 20
Prediction: Jaguars 24, Patriots 20
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat New England Patriots
I got the Jacksonville Jaguars winning this game.
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 21
Patriots at Jaguars Projected score : Jaguars 23, Patriots 21
Jacksonville Jaguars 21 — Patriots 16
The Jaguars get back on track in a lower-scoring game. Pick: Jaguars 21, Patriots 16
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat New England Patriots
The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost consecutive games just once since 2024 and could put up a number New England cannot match in this contest between 1-1 squads.
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 20
Jaguars 23-20 over Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Jacksonville Jaguars
Two and o at the Jacksonville Jaguars. We're winning that game.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Patriots
Now you're home for the Patriots. Win.