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Shanna McCarriston· Oct 31, 2026

She picks the Bills to beat the Ravens in a close game at Highmark Stadium, with a final score of 33-30.

“I expect the Bills to win this one in a tough battle that comes down to the end, and it may just be a playoff preview.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Buffalo Bills 33 — Ravens 30

    “I expect the Bills to win this one in a tough battle that comes down to the end... Pick: Bills, 33-30”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3, total 54.5 · this 33–30 calls the line’s margin (Bills by 3) and more points (63).

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