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Eric Cohen· Oct 30, 2026

Cohen projected a high-scoring Bills win over the Ravens with Lamar Jackson back, forecasting a 31-25 Buffalo victory.

“BILLS 31, Ravens 25”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 52.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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  • Buffalo Bills 31 — Ravens 25

    “With Lamar Jackson back in action for Baltimore, expect another shootout... BILLS 31, Ravens 25”

    Close · 52Scored 52.38a naive guess scored 50+3.83 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    3.83
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    52.38
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    6

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3, total 54.5 · this 31–25 calls a bigger Bills win (by 6) and more points (56).

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