AJ Hawk#71 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 15, 2026
Hawk picked the Seahawks to beat the Broncos on the road, predicting a margin of seven to ten points.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)Hear the original
What AJ Hawk said
I am taking the Seattle Seahawks minus two and a half on the road. I think they win by seven or 10.
- Where it was said
- The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)
- The episode
- PMS 2.0 1646 - TNF Preview/Picks, Steve Young, Mark DeRosa, Ian Rapoport, Kirk Herbstreit, Coach Chuck Pagano, & AJ Hawk
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 15
- PlayedOct 15
- GradedOct 16
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat Denver Broncos
What happenedBroncos 17–14Seahawks at Broncos0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.72difficulty=−172skillClosing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 14-17
- skill:
- −172
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.Dave Richard · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.John Pluym · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.Pamela Maldonado · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9.
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Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.