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Mike MoraitisAug 19, 2026

Moraitis writes that although Braxton Jones has looked like the favorite, Ozzy Trapilo is likely to take over as the Bears' starting left tackle once he's healthy enough to play.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100
Depth Chart CallsThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
−200Skillafter difficulty

What Mike Moraitis said

Jones has seemed like the favorite at the position for months now, but Trapilo, who was activated off the PUP list earlier this week, is likely to get the nod when he's ready to go
Our reading: Ozzy Trapilo to be 1st on the depth chart
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Ben Johnson Disappointed With State of Competitions at Bears Training Camp
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 19
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 17

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Depth Chart CallsOzzy TrapiloChicago Bears

    Ozzy Trapilo to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CHI
    week:
    1
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Ozzy Trapilo
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he starts
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    reported:
    he did not play that week
    naive slot:
    6
    settled by:
    weekly snap counts (he took no snap in the game)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he keeps the job he had last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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