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Pete MartuneacAug 16, 2026

After Trapilo's activation from the PUP list roughly seven months after rupturing their patellar tendon, Martuneac says the Bears' left tackle competition is over and Trapilo will be starting at left tackle early in the 2026 season, even if not by Week 1.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100

Depth Chart CallsThe callsettled

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

−200Skillafter difficulty

What Pete Martuneac said

He may not be ready to go for Week 1, but there's no doubt now that he will be able to start for the Bears early in the 2026 season.

Our reading: Ozzy Trapilo to be 1st on the depth chart

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Bears' Ozzy Trapilo Defies NFL History With His Improbable Return From Injury
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 16
PlayedSep 13
GradedSep 17

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Depth Chart Calls Ozzy Trapilo Chicago Bears
Ozzy Trapilo to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
How this was scored
club:
CHI
week:
1
skill:
−200
player:
Ozzy Trapilo
season:
2026
claimed:
he starts
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
reported:
he did not play that week
naive slot:
6
settled by:
weekly snap counts (he took no snap in the game)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he keeps the job he had last season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
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