Mark Gunnels· Oct 11, 2026
Gunnels predicted the Raiders' 3-0 start would collapse into a 3-4 record, with Las Vegas losing its next two games to the Bills and the Rams.
“Cute 3-0 start that will soon turn into 3-4.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Bills at Raiders 23 calls
- Rams at Raiders 24 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 11, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders
“Cute 3-0 start that will soon turn into 3-4. Their next two games are against the Bills and Rams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 35-21
- skill:
- 178
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsOct 11, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Raiders
“Cute 3-0 start that will soon turn into 3-4. Their next two games are against the Bills and Rams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 33-30
- skill:
- 178
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 18): Bills by 5.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 2 in 3 (68%).
What others said about the same people
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsHit · 93Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsHit · 93Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsHit · 93Dajani picked all seven featured Week 9 games with final scores, including a blowout Jaguars win in Baltimore, an Atlanta upset of Cincinnati in Madrid, and a narrow Bills win in Minneapolis.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsHit · 98Dubin predicted scores for the same seven Week 9 games, including a lopsided Jacksonville win, a Bengals victory over Atlanta, and low-scoring wins for Denver, Green Bay, Chicago and Buffalo.
- Zachary PerelesGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Pereles picks the Rams to beat the Commanders in Washington for their third straight win, arguing Los Angeles has no margin for error left as a favorite.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Jeremy BrenerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.