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Shanna McCarriston· Oct 31, 2026

She picks the Chiefs to beat the Broncos in Denver in a close game, sweeping the season series, by a 30-27 score.

“I think the Chiefs will sweep the divisional series, but I think it will be close.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 47.6 out of 100, against 92.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Broncos 27

    “I think the Chiefs will sweep the divisional series, but I think it will be close. I expect Rice to be a factor in his first game back. Pick: Chiefs, 30-27”

    Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 92.18-71.75 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-28
    skill:
    −71.75
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    47.62
    baseline:
    92.18
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5, total 41.5 · this 30–27 calls a Chiefs win (by 3; the line gave the Chiefs 50%) and more points (57).

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